The School of Odds
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Kiekko-Espoo v KalPa

2026-09-01 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo (Local)

Prediction 42.41%2.36fair odd
EV -0.330%
Edge -0.141%
Kelly -0.245%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%42.41%42.41%42.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.202.232.3550.51%45.53%44.84%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KalPa (Visit)

Prediction 34.94%2.86fair odd
EV -3.90%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.57%34.94%34.94%37.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.642.702.7542.55%37.95%37.04%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.64%4.42fair odd
EV -4.90%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%22.64%22.64%23.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.034.104.2027.03%24.83%24.39%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 42.41%; KalPa (Visit): 34.94%; Draw: 22.64%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.35, with an expected value of -0.330%; they do not produce positive expected value.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.85%EV -0.330%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.02%EV -11.59%E -4.58%K -7.58%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.13%EV -8.29%E -2.05%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 19:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-24 17:34
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -5.42%E -2.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -5.42%E -2.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 17:34
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -5.42%E -2.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -5.42%E -2.43%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -7.16%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.54%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -4.90%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.29%EV -9.66%E -4.54%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 34.91%EV -9.85%E -3.82%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -10.56%E -2.67%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-24 19:44
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.34%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%EV -10.89%E -4.27%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -11.69%E -3.00%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -12.64%E -5.06%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.87%EV -12.82%E -3.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-24 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 42.06%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 35.44%EV -17.88%E -7.61%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.51%EV -16.22%E -4.38%K -6.01%G +0.000%20.1%2026-08-24 19:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
BetRivers🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%5.6%2026-08-24 17:34
betPARX🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%5.6%2026-08-24 17:34
Bally Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%5.6%2026-08-24 17:33
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-08-24 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%6.3%2026-08-24 19:44
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-08-24 19:44