默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kiekko-Espoo v KalPa

2026-09-01 15:30 UTC — Liiga

胜负盘

15 家博彩公司 (3 家纳入分析 )

44%

33%

23%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kiekko-Espoo (主队)

预测 43.68%2.29公平赔率

EV +2.21%

优势 +0.943%

Kelly +1.65%

增长率 +0.036%

假设最高赔率为 2.34

博彩公司预测分布

40.07%43.68%42.43%46.21%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.982.182.232.3450.51%45.90%44.84%42.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

KalPa (客队)

预测 33.27%3.01公平赔率

EV +4.80%

优势 +1.53%

Kelly +2.23%

增长率 +0.107%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布

29.93%33.27%34.82%37.06%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.352.662.703.1542.55%37.54%37.04%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.05%4.34公平赔率

EV -3.19%

优势 -0.759%

Kelly -0.996%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布

21.93%23.05%22.75%23.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.704.034.104.2027.03%24.81%24.39%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Kiekko-Espoo (主队)：43.68%；KalPa (客队)：33.27%；平局：23.05%。对于“KalPa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.01。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为3.15，由此产生+4.80%的正期望值。

有 7 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (15 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	平局	利润率	更新时间
Betsson🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -10.90%E -5.34%K -10.48%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV +4.80%E +1.53%K +2.23%G +0.107%	3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-24 21:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -1.72%E -0.766%K -1.38%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-24 17:34
ATG (SE)🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -1.72%E -0.766%K -1.38%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-24 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.25%EV -1.72%E -0.766%K -1.38%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.57%EV -8.50%E -3.09%K -4.86%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.22I 45.05%NM 42.54%EV -3.03%E -1.37%K -2.49%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.98%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -3.19%E -0.759%K -0.996%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-24 19:44
Grosvenor🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-24 17:34
Casumo🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-24 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.23I 44.84%NM 42.20%EV -2.60%E -1.16%K -2.11%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -10.17%E -3.77%K -5.98%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-24 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.13I 46.95%NM 42.29%EV -6.97%E -3.27%K -6.16%G +0.000%	2.58I 38.76%NM 34.91%EV -14.16%E -5.49%K -8.96%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.80%EV -8.95%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-24 19:44
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.81%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.26%EV -15.16%E -5.94%K -9.78%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-08-24 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.34%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.87%EV -15.16%E -5.94%K -9.78%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.10%E -2.59%K -3.48%G +0.000%	12.5%	2026-08-24 17:34
1xBet🎯	2.34I 42.74%NM 40.07%EV +2.21%E +0.943%K +1.65%G +0.036%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%EV -15.82%E -6.25%K -10.34%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -5.49%E -1.34%K -1.77%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-24 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.92%EV -8.28%E -3.94%K -7.52%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.21%EV -16.82%E -6.73%K -11.21%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.87%EV -11.25%E -2.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-08-24 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 42.06%EV -13.52%E -6.83%K -13.79%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 35.44%EV -21.81%E -9.28%K -16.16%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 22.51%EV -14.71%E -3.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%	20.1%	2026-08-24 19:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (7)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	利润率 ▲	更新时间
NordicBet🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%	2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%	4.1%	2026-08-24 21:09
BetRivers🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%	5.6%	2026-08-24 17:34
betPARX🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%	5.6%	2026-08-24 17:34
Bally Bet🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%	5.6%	2026-08-24 17:33
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%	6.3%	2026-08-24 19:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%	6.3%	2026-08-24 19:44
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%	7.5%	2026-08-24 19:44

套利（12 种组合） +1.74%1xBet 2.34 (43.5%) / Betsson 3.15 (32.3%) / Unibet (UK) 4.20 (24.2%)显示全部 12 种组合

Kiekko-Espoo (主队)	KalPa (客队)	平局	利润率
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.5%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.3%)	Unibet (UK)🎯 4.20 (24.2%)	+1.74%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	LeoVegas (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	1xBet🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (43.2%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (32.1%)	Winamax (DE)🎯 4.10 (24.7%)	+1.14%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (31.8%)	Betsson🎯 3.95 (25.4%)	+0.203%
1xBet🎯 2.34 (42.8%)	Betsson🎯 3.15 (31.8%)	Betclic (FR)🎯 3.95 (25.4%)	+0.203%