语言:简体中文
Kiekko-Espoo v KalPa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Kiekko-Espoo (主队)
预测 43.15%2.32公平赔率
EV -2.48%
优势 -1.10%
Kelly -1.97%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.26
博彩公司预测分布
41.65%43.34%43.19%45.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.102.102.2651.28%47.53%47.62%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
KalPa (客队)
预测 33.07%3.02公平赔率
EV +4.17%
优势 +1.32%
Kelly +1.94%
增长率 +0.081%
假设最高赔率为 3.15
博彩公司预测分布
30.84%32.76%32.98%35.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.822.803.1539.22%35.42%35.71%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.78%4.21公平赔率
EV +3.44%
优势 +0.792%
Kelly +1.03%
增长率 +0.035%
假设最高赔率为 4.35
博彩公司预测分布
22.19%23.90%23.83%24.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.704.044.004.3527.03%24.75%25.00%22.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kiekko-Espoo (主队)：43.15%；KalPa (客队)：33.07%；平局：23.78%。 对于“KalPa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.02。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.15，对应+4.17%的正期望值。
有 20 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%EV +4.17%E +1.32%K +1.94%G +0.081% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-25 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -0.795%E -0.265%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV +3.44%E +0.792%K +1.03%G +0.035% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -0.795%E -0.265%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV +3.44%E +0.792%K +1.03%G +0.035% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -0.795%E -0.265%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV +3.44%E +0.792%K +1.03%G +0.035% | 3.1% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.06%E -3.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -10.82%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -15.85%E -8.13%K -16.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -9.06%E -3.30%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -12.04%E -4.53%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.50%E -0.610%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -12.37%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -6.07%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -12.37%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -12.01%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -13.03%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.74%EV -11.30%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84%EV -15.68%E -6.15%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%EV -10.82%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (20)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72% | 1.6% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25% | 3.2% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11% | 4.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19% | 4.8% | 2026-09-01 09:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67% | 5.1% | 2026-09-01 13:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 15:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 15:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30% | 7.5% | 2026-09-01 15:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 17:30 |