預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Kiekko-Espoo v KalPa

開賽時間: 2026-09-01 15:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

17 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Kiekko-Espoo (主隊)

預測 43.15%2.32公平賠率
EV -2.48%
優勢 -1.10%
Kelly -1.97%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.26

博彩公司預測分布
41.65%43.34%43.19%45.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.952.102.102.2651.28%47.53%47.62%44.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

KalPa (客隊)

預測 33.07%3.02公平賠率
EV +4.17%
優勢 +1.32%
Kelly +1.94%
成長率 +0.081%

假設最高賠率為 3.15

博彩公司預測分布
30.84%32.76%32.98%35.39%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.552.822.803.1539.22%35.42%35.71%31.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.78%4.21公平賠率
EV +3.44%
優勢 +0.792%
Kelly +1.03%
成長率 +0.035%

假設最高賠率為 4.35

博彩公司預測分布
22.19%23.90%23.83%24.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.704.044.004.3527.03%24.75%25.00%22.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Kiekko-Espoo (主隊):43.15%;KalPa (客隊):33.07%;和局:23.78%。 對於「KalPa (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.02的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.15,對應+4.17%的正期望值。

有 20 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.56%EV -5.93%E -2.72%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.84%EV +4.17%E +1.32%K +1.94%G +0.081%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.07%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-25 08:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -0.795%E -0.265%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV +3.44%E +0.792%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.1%2026-09-01 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -0.795%E -0.265%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV +3.44%E +0.792%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.1%2026-09-01 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.35%EV -7.66%E -3.58%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.35%EV -0.795%E -0.265%K -0.397%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%EV +3.44%E +0.792%K +1.03%G +0.035%3.1%2026-09-01 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 13:05
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.32%EV -10.68%E -5.16%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.10%E -1.41%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -0.123%E -0.029%K -0.038%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 13:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.07%E -2.30%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -7.41%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 15:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -9.06%E -3.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -10.82%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-01 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.53%EV -15.85%E -8.13%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.28%EV -9.06%E -3.30%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.19%EV -4.88%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-01 13:05
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -2.48%E -1.10%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.39%EV -12.04%E -4.53%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -2.50%E -0.610%K -0.807%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 15:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -12.37%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.88%EV -6.07%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 15:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.37%EV -9.38%E -4.47%K -8.53%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.58%EV -12.37%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -12.01%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.58%EV -10.25%E -4.93%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.68%EV -13.03%E -4.95%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.74%EV -11.30%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-01 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.15%EV -13.70%E -6.85%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.84%EV -15.68%E -6.15%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.01%EV -10.82%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-01 15:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (20)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.6%2026-09-01 15:25
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%3.2%2026-09-01 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%4.0%2026-09-01 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%4.3%2026-09-01 15:20
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%4.8%2026-09-01 15:20
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%4.8%2026-09-01 09:45
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%5.1%2026-09-01 13:05
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%5.1%2026-09-01 13:05
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%5.1%2026-09-01 13:05
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-09-01 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-09-01 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-09-01 15:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-09-01 15:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%6.1%2026-09-01 15:19
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%6.8%2026-09-01 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%7.5%2026-09-01 15:20
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-08-30 17:25
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-08-30 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-08-30 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%8.0%2026-08-30 17:30