Language:English
SC Magdeburg v HC Erlangen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SC Magdeburg (Local)
Prediction 88.33%1.13fair odd
EV -6.37%
Edge -6.01%
Kelly -106.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.35%88.28%88.38%90.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.19%97.09%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HC Erlangen (Visit)
Prediction 6.98%14.32fair odd
EV +25.66%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.387%
assuming max odds 18.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.10%6.99%7.00%8.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.7612.0018.0010.00%7.84%8.33%5.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 4.69%21.31fair odd
EV +31.41%
Edge +1.12%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.365%
assuming max odds 28.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.25%4.72%4.62%5.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0018.9617.0028.006.67%5.27%5.88%3.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Magdeburg (Local): 88.33%; HC Erlangen (Visit): 6.98%; Draw: 4.69%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 21.31. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 28.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.41%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.91%EV -10.79%E -10.68%K -1079.11%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +25.66%E +1.43%K +1.51%G +0.387% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV +7.95%E +0.345%K +0.361%G +0.029% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +7.95%E +0.345%K +0.361%G +0.029% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.97%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +22.03%E +0.847%K +0.881%G +0.194% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.97%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +22.03%E +0.847%K +0.881%G +0.194% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.65%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +4.72%E +0.314%K +0.337%G +0.016% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +3.25%E +0.148%K +0.155%G +0.005% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +4.72%E +0.314%K +0.337%G +0.016% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -1.44%E -0.069%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.79%EV -8.14%E -7.83%K -203.53%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -2.27%E -0.162%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.62%EV -6.13%E -0.307%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 07:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.88%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -2.27%E -0.162%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.58%EV -6.13%E -0.307%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -9.25%E -0.711%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -10.83%E -0.570%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -9.25%E -0.711%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -10.83%E -0.570%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.54%EV -7.26%E -6.91%K -145.16%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV -12.74%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV -15.52%E -0.862%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 07:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.29%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV -24.95%E -2.32%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.25%EV +31.41%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.365% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.83%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -26.70%E -2.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.84%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -30.19%E -3.02%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 84.97% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.84% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.19% | 15.4% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 12:55 |