语言:简体中文
SC Magdeburg v HC Erlangen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
SC Magdeburg (主队)
预测 88.33%1.13公平赔率
EV -6.37%
优势 -6.01%
Kelly -106.25%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.06
博彩公司预测分布
85.35%88.28%88.38%90.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.19%97.09%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
HC Erlangen (客队)
预测 6.98%14.32公平赔率
EV +25.66%
优势 +1.43%
Kelly +1.51%
增长率 +0.387%
假设最高赔率为 18.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.10%6.99%7.00%8.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0012.7612.0018.0010.00%7.84%8.33%5.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 4.69%21.31公平赔率
EV +31.41%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.16%
增长率 +0.365%
假设最高赔率为 28.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.25%4.72%4.62%5.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0018.9617.0028.006.67%5.27%5.88%3.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：SC Magdeburg (主队)：88.33%；HC Erlangen (客队)：6.98%；平局：4.69%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为21.31。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为28.00，对应+31.41%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.91%EV -10.79%E -10.68%K -1079.11%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +25.66%E +1.43%K +1.51%G +0.387% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV +7.95%E +0.345%K +0.361%G +0.029% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +7.95%E +0.345%K +0.361%G +0.029% | 7.3% | 2026-04-10 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.97%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +22.03%E +0.847%K +0.881%G +0.194% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.97%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +22.03%E +0.847%K +0.881%G +0.194% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 15:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.65%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +4.72%E +0.314%K +0.337%G +0.016% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +3.25%E +0.148%K +0.155%G +0.005% | 8.3% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +4.72%E +0.314%K +0.337%G +0.016% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -1.44%E -0.069%K -0.072%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.79%EV -8.14%E -7.83%K -203.53%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -2.27%E -0.162%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.62%EV -6.13%E -0.307%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 07:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.88%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -2.27%E -0.162%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.58%EV -6.13%E -0.307%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 12:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -9.25%E -0.711%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -10.83%E -0.570%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -9.25%E -0.711%K -0.771%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -10.83%E -0.570%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-09 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.54%EV -7.26%E -6.91%K -145.16%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV -12.74%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV -15.52%E -0.862%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 07:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 20:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.29%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV -24.95%E -2.32%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.25%EV +31.41%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.365% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 14:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 85.83%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -26.70%E -2.54%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.84%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -30.19%E -3.02%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-10 08:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 84.97% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 8.84% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.19% | 15.4% | 2026-04-12 12:20 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37% | 10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63% | 6.3% | 2026-04-12 12:55 |