預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SC Magdeburg v HC Erlangen

開賽時間: 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC

最終賽果: SC Magdeburg 35–31 HC Erlangen

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

SC Magdeburg (主隊)

預測 88.33%1.13公平賠率
EV -6.37%
優勢 -6.01%
Kelly -106.25%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.06

博彩公司預測分布
85.35%88.28%88.38%90.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.011.041.031.0699.01%96.19%97.09%94.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值

HC Erlangen (客隊)

預測 6.98%14.32公平賠率
EV +25.66%
優勢 +1.43%
Kelly +1.51%
成長率 +0.387%

假設最高賠率為 18.00

博彩公司預測分布
5.10%6.99%7.00%8.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
10.0012.7612.0018.0010.00%7.84%8.33%5.56%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 4.69%21.31公平賠率
EV +31.41%
優勢 +1.12%
Kelly +1.16%
成長率 +0.365%

假設最高賠率為 28.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.25%4.72%4.62%5.95%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
15.0018.9617.0028.006.67%5.27%5.88%3.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:SC Magdeburg (主隊):88.33%;HC Erlangen (客隊):6.98%;和局:4.69%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於21.31的公平十進位賠率。 當時有6家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為28.00,對應+31.41%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.91%EV -10.79%E -10.68%K -1079.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.10%EV +25.66%E +1.43%K +1.51%G +0.387%23.00I 4.35%NM 3.99%EV +7.95%E +0.345%K +0.361%G +0.029%8.9%2026-04-12 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.47%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.48%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +7.95%E +0.345%K +0.361%G +0.029%7.3%2026-04-10 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.97%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +22.03%E +0.847%K +0.881%G +0.194%7.8%2026-04-09 15:30
Coral🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.97%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV +18.68%E +1.10%K +1.17%G +0.218%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +22.03%E +0.847%K +0.881%G +0.194%7.8%2026-04-09 15:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.65%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.16%EV +4.72%E +0.314%K +0.337%G +0.016%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.20%EV +3.25%E +0.148%K +0.155%G +0.005%8.3%2026-04-12 12:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.47%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.14%EV +4.72%E +0.314%K +0.337%G +0.016%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.39%EV -1.44%E -0.069%K -0.072%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:20
Coolbet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.79%EV -8.14%E -7.83%K -203.53%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.60%EV -2.27%E -0.162%K -0.174%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.62%EV -6.13%E -0.307%K -0.323%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 07:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.88%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV -2.27%E -0.162%K -0.174%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.58%EV -6.13%E -0.307%K -0.323%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 12:19
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -9.25%E -0.711%K -0.771%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -10.83%E -0.570%K -0.602%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 21:19
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.23%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.99%EV -9.25%E -0.711%K -0.771%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.78%EV -10.83%E -0.570%K -0.602%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-09 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.54%EV -7.26%E -6.91%K -145.16%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.35%EV -12.74%E -1.02%K -1.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.11%EV -15.52%E -0.862%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 07:59
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.62%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -16.23%E -1.35%K -1.48%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.95%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 20:39
Unibet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:19
LeoVegas🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:20
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.25%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -23.21%E -2.11%K -2.32%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -20.21%E -1.19%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 08:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 88.29%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV -24.95%E -2.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%28.00I 3.57%NM 3.25%EV +31.41%E +1.12%K +1.16%G +0.365%10.0%2026-04-12 14:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 85.83%EV -9.91%E -9.71%K -495.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.34%EV -26.70%E -2.54%K -2.81%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.84%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-12 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.02%E -8.76%K -300.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -30.19%E -3.02%K -3.35%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -29.60%E -1.97%K -2.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-10 08:19
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 84.97%9.80I 10.20%NM 8.84%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.19%15.4%2026-04-12 12:20

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.37%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.63%6.3%2026-04-12 12:55