預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HC Erlangen v VfL Gummersbach

開賽時間: 2026-05-10 14:30 UTC

最終賽果: HC Erlangen 22–26 VfL Gummersbach

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

HC Erlangen (主隊)

預測 21.32%4.69公平賠率
EV -4.08%
優勢 -0.907%
Kelly -1.17%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.50

博彩公司預測分布
20.45%21.29%21.32%22.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.904.184.104.5025.64%23.91%24.39%22.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

VfL Gummersbach (客隊)

預測 69.86%1.43公平賠率
EV -6.39%
優勢 -4.77%
Kelly -18.78%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.34

博彩公司預測分布
68.19%69.82%69.83%70.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.281.321.311.3478.13%75.94%76.34%74.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 8.82%11.33公平賠率
EV -2.94%
優勢 -0.268%
Kelly -0.294%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 11.00

博彩公司預測分布
8.32%8.90%8.85%10.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0010.0710.0011.0011.11%9.93%10.00%9.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:HC Erlangen (主隊):21.32%;VfL Gummersbach (客隊):69.86%;和局:8.82%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於11.33的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為11.00,期望值為-2.94%,未產生正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.08%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-10 14:09
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -4.08%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -7.35%E -0.700%K -0.774%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.09%EV -7.28%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.57%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 13:54
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 13:09
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.08%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-10 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.47%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000%10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -9.56%E -0.933%K -1.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 14:09
NordicBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-10 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:55
LeoVegas🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:54
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 07:55
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-09 20:14
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -15.80%E -4.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 68.55%EV -10.58%E -8.26%K -37.78%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -16.18%E -1.70%K -1.90%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-10 13:54
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -16.87%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.19%EV -9.88%E -7.66%K -34.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -16.18%E -1.70%K -1.90%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 07:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52%1.27I 78.74%NM 68.26%9.40I 10.64%NM 9.22%15.4%2026-05-10 13:54

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯4.07I 24.57%NM 23.06%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.94%6.5%2026-05-10 14:04