Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.34
ipotizzando la quota massima 11.00
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: HC Erlangen (Casa): 21.32%; VfL Gummersbach (Trasferta): 69.86%; Pareggio: 8.82%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 11.33. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 11.00, con un valore atteso del -2.94%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.08%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -4.08%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -7.35%E -0.700%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.09%EV -7.28%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.57%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.08%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.47%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -9.56%E -0.933%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -15.80%E -4.00%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.55%EV -10.58%E -8.26%K -37.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -16.18%E -1.70%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -16.87%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.19%EV -9.88%E -7.66%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -16.18%E -1.70%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.26% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.22% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.06% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.94% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |