语言:简体中文
HC Erlangen v VfL Gummersbach
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
HC Erlangen (主队)
预测 21.32%4.69公平赔率
EV -4.08%
优势 -0.907%
Kelly -1.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.45%21.29%21.32%22.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.184.104.5025.64%23.91%24.39%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
VfL Gummersbach (客队)
预测 69.86%1.43公平赔率
EV -6.39%
优势 -4.77%
Kelly -18.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.34
博彩公司预测分布
68.19%69.82%69.83%70.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.321.311.3478.13%75.94%76.34%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 8.82%11.33公平赔率
EV -2.94%
优势 -0.268%
Kelly -0.294%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.32%8.90%8.85%10.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0010.0710.0011.0011.11%9.93%10.00%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：HC Erlangen (主队)：21.32%；VfL Gummersbach (客队)：69.86%；平局：8.82%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.33。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为11.00，期望值为-2.94%，未产生正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -4.08%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.16%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -4.08%E -0.907%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.76%EV -7.35%E -0.700%K -0.774%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.09%EV -7.28%E -1.67%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.57%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.34%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.99%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.92%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 13:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -7.70%E -1.78%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.22%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.00%EV -20.59%E -2.29%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 14:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -8.34%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.08%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -9.41%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.47%EV -7.78%E -5.90%K -24.32%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 8.95%EV -9.56%E -0.933%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 14:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -10.48%E -2.49%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.88%EV -8.48%E -6.47%K -27.36%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -2.94%E -0.268%K -0.294%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -12.61%E -3.07%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.45%EV -6.39%E -4.77%K -18.78%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -14.74%E -3.68%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.18%E -7.06%K -30.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.93%EV -11.77%E -1.18%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 20:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -15.80%E -4.00%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.55%EV -10.58%E -8.26%K -37.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV -16.18%E -1.70%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.55%EV -16.87%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.19%EV -9.88%E -7.66%K -34.07%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.26%EV -16.18%E -1.70%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-09 07:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.52% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.26% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 9.22% | 15.4% | 2026-05-10 13:54 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.06% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.94% | 6.5% | 2026-05-10 14:04 |