Language:English
Füchse Berlin v HC Erlangen
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Füchse Berlin (Local)
Prediction 87.46%1.14fair odd
EV -7.29%
Edge -6.88%
Kelly -121.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.35%87.35%87.58%89.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.041.051.0697.09%95.82%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HC Erlangen (Visit)
Prediction 7.71%12.97fair odd
EV +15.62%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.174%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.20%7.79%7.61%9.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0012.4713.0015.0010.00%8.02%7.69%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 4.83%20.70fair odd
EV +20.77%
Edge +0.831%
Kelly +0.865%
Growth +0.180%
assuming max odds 25.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.63%4.86%4.81%5.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0019.3820.0025.006.67%5.16%5.00%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Füchse Berlin (Local): 87.46%; HC Erlangen (Visit): 7.71%; Draw: 4.83%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.70. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 25.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.77%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.29%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -22.92%E -2.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.63%EV +20.77%E +0.831%K +0.865%G +0.180% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +7.91%E +0.565%K +0.609%G +0.048% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.28%E +0.285%K +0.299%G +0.019% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.67%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +4.06%E +0.301%K +0.325%G +0.013% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +15.62%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.174% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.61%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -8.21%E -0.432%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -13.05%E -0.725%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -13.05%E -0.725%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.29%E -6.88%K -121.52%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.16%EV -13.28%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.25%EV -15.46%E -0.883%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 16:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -22.92%E -2.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.18% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.19% | 15.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67% | 11.33I 8.83%NM 8.33% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |