语言:简体中文
Füchse Berlin v HC Erlangen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Füchse Berlin (主队)
预测 87.46%1.14公平赔率
EV -7.29%
优势 -6.88%
Kelly -121.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.06
博彩公司预测分布
85.35%87.35%87.58%89.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.041.051.0697.09%95.82%95.24%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值
HC Erlangen (客队)
预测 7.71%12.97公平赔率
EV +15.62%
优势 +1.04%
Kelly +1.12%
增长率 +0.174%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.20%7.79%7.61%9.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0012.4713.0015.0010.00%8.02%7.69%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 4.83%20.70公平赔率
EV +20.77%
优势 +0.831%
Kelly +0.865%
增长率 +0.180%
假设最高赔率为 25.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.63%4.86%4.81%5.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0019.3820.0025.006.67%5.16%5.00%4.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Füchse Berlin (主队)：87.46%；HC Erlangen (客队)：7.71%；平局：4.83%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为20.70。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为25.00，对应+20.77%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.29%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -22.92%E -2.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.63%EV +20.77%E +0.831%K +0.865%G +0.180% | 10.2% | 2026-03-15 16:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +7.91%E +0.565%K +0.609%G +0.048% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.28%E +0.285%K +0.299%G +0.019% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.67%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +4.06%E +0.301%K +0.325%G +0.013% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +15.62%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.174% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.6% | 2026-03-15 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.61%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -8.21%E -0.432%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -13.05%E -0.725%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -13.05%E -0.725%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.29%E -6.88%K -121.52%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.16%EV -13.28%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.25%EV -15.46%E -0.883%K -0.937%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 16:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-15 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -22.92%E -2.29%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.18% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.19% | 15.3% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92% | 176.2% | 2026-03-15 14:55 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67% | 11.33I 8.83%NM 8.33% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |