預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Füchse Berlin v HC Erlangen

開賽時間: 2026-03-15 17:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

25 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Füchse Berlin (主隊)

預測 87.46%1.14公平賠率
EV -7.29%
優勢 -6.88%
Kelly -121.52%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.06

博彩公司預測分布
85.35%87.35%87.58%89.38%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.031.041.051.0697.09%95.82%95.24%94.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值

HC Erlangen (客隊)

預測 7.71%12.97公平賠率
EV +15.62%
優勢 +1.04%
Kelly +1.12%
成長率 +0.174%

假設最高賠率為 15.00

博彩公司預測分布
6.20%7.79%7.61%9.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
10.0012.4713.0015.0010.00%8.02%7.69%6.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 4.83%20.70公平賠率
EV +20.77%
優勢 +0.831%
Kelly +0.865%
成長率 +0.180%

假設最高賠率為 25.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.63%4.86%4.81%5.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
15.0019.3820.0025.006.67%5.16%5.00%4.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Füchse Berlin (主隊):87.46%;HC Erlangen (客隊):7.71%;和局:4.83%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於20.70的公平十進位賠率。 當時有7家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為25.00,對應+20.77%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (25 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.29%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -22.92%E -2.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.63%EV +20.77%E +0.831%K +0.865%G +0.180%10.2%2026-03-15 16:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.57%EV +7.91%E +0.565%K +0.609%G +0.048%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.18%EV +6.28%E +0.285%K +0.299%G +0.019%8.8%2026-03-15 15:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.67%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.90%EV +4.06%E +0.301%K +0.325%G +0.013%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.4%2026-03-15 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV +15.62%E +1.04%K +1.12%G +0.174%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.6%2026-03-15 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001%7.7%2026-03-15 14:55
Coral🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001%8.6%2026-03-14 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.53%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +1.45%E +0.069%K +0.072%G +0.001%8.6%2026-03-14 14:54
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:20
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:19
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:20
LeoVegas🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 08:19
Coolbet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.17%E -7.78%K -163.32%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV +0.206%E +0.016%K +0.017%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.63%EV -3.38%E -0.169%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.61%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -8.21%E -0.432%K -0.456%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-15 14:55
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -13.05%E -0.725%K -0.767%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 87.38%EV -9.04%E -8.69%K -226.01%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.57%EV -7.50%E -0.625%K -0.682%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.05%EV -13.05%E -0.725%K -0.767%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 86.60%EV -7.29%E -6.88%K -121.52%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.16%EV -13.28%E -1.18%K -1.30%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.25%EV -15.46%E -0.883%K -0.937%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 16:34
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 86.04%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.06%EV -15.21%E -1.38%K -1.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-15 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%EV -9.92%E -9.63%K -330.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.79%EV -22.92%E -2.29%K -2.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.86%EV -27.54%E -1.84%K -1.97%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-15 14:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Smarkets1.03I 97.09%NM 84.18%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.63%14.01I 7.14%NM 6.19%15.3%2026-03-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-03-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 34.16%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%1.10I 90.91%NM 32.92%176.2%2026-03-15 14:55

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (1)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.67%11.33I 8.83%NM 8.33%5.9%2026-03-15 15:05