Language:English
Bergischer HC v SC Magdeburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bergischer HC (Local)
Prediction 8.19%12.21fair odd
EV +22.83%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.372%
assuming max odds 15.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.17%8.18%8.19%9.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5011.3410.5015.0010.53%8.82%9.52%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SC Magdeburg (Visit)
Prediction 86.80%1.15fair odd
EV -6.25%
Edge -5.79%
Kelly -78.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.96%86.90%86.81%89.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.051.0897.09%94.63%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 5.01%19.97fair odd
EV +25.20%
Edge +1.01%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.265%
assuming max odds 25.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.68%4.92%5.00%5.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
15.0018.8119.0025.006.67%5.32%5.26%4.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bergischer HC (Local): 8.19%; SC Magdeburg (Visit): 86.80%; Draw: 5.01%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 19.97. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 25.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.20%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +22.83%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.372% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.96%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.87%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +22.83%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.372% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.96%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.87%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +14.64%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.165% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 03:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -10.59%E -10.28%K -353.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.68%EV +25.20%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.265% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.74%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.99%E -7.54%K -133.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -1.74%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.93%E -0.902%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.93%E -0.902%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -11.97%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.81%EV -7.12%E -6.65%K -101.72%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.65%EV -18.62%E -1.15%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.23%EV -19.75%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.00%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.77%EV +20.20%E +0.842%K +0.878%G +0.177% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -22.21%E -2.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.96%EV -10.59%E -10.28%K -353.09%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.83%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 07:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 83.99% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.18% | 15.6% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.48% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.52% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |