Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 15.00
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.08
ipotizzando la quota massima 25.00
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Bergischer HC (Casa): 8.19%; SC Magdeburg (Trasferta): 86.80%; Pareggio: 5.01%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 19.97. 5 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 25.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +25.20%.
1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +22.83%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.372% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.96%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.87%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +22.83%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.372% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.96%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.87%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +14.64%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.165% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 03:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -10.59%E -10.28%K -353.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.68%EV +25.20%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.265% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.74%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.99%E -7.54%K -133.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -1.74%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.93%E -0.902%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.93%E -0.902%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -11.97%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.81%EV -7.12%E -6.65%K -101.72%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.65%EV -18.62%E -1.15%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.23%EV -19.75%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.00%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.77%EV +20.20%E +0.842%K +0.878%G +0.177% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -22.21%E -2.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.96%EV -10.59%E -10.28%K -353.09%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.83%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 07:39 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 83.99% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.18% | 15.6% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.48% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.52% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |