语言:简体中文
Bergischer HC v SC Magdeburg
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Bergischer HC (主队)
预测 8.19%12.21公平赔率
EV +22.83%
优势 +1.52%
Kelly +1.63%
增长率 +0.372%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.17%8.18%8.19%9.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.5011.3410.5015.0010.53%8.82%9.52%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
SC Magdeburg (客队)
预测 86.80%1.15公平赔率
EV -6.25%
优势 -5.79%
Kelly -78.16%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.08
博彩公司预测分布
84.96%86.90%86.81%89.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.051.0897.09%94.63%95.24%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 5.01%19.97公平赔率
EV +25.20%
优势 +1.01%
Kelly +1.05%
增长率 +0.265%
假设最高赔率为 25.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.68%4.92%5.00%5.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0018.8119.0025.006.67%5.32%5.26%4.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bergischer HC (主队)：8.19%；SC Magdeburg (客队)：86.80%；平局：5.01%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为19.97。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为25.00，对应+25.20%的正期望值。
有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +22.83%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.372% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.96%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.87%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.17%EV +22.83%E +1.52%K +1.63%G +0.372% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.96%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.87%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-14 22:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV +14.64%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.165% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.98%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 8.1% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.44%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV +5.17%E +0.246%K +0.259%G +0.013% | 7.7% | 2026-03-15 03:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.07%EV +6.45%E +0.496%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.25%EV -10.59%E -10.28%K -353.09%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.68%EV +25.20%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.265% | 8.8% | 2026-03-15 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.70%EV -1.74%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.99%E -7.54%K -133.14%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.13%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -1.74%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.51%EV -8.86%E -8.43%K -177.13%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.84%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 22:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.93%E -0.902%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.20%EV -9.93%E -0.902%K -0.993%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.78%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.01%EV -9.85%E -0.547%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.54%EV -11.97%E -1.11%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 85.81%EV -7.12%E -6.65%K -101.72%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.65%EV -18.62%E -1.15%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-15 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -14.02%E -1.34%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.23%EV -6.25%E -5.79%K -78.16%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.90%EV -4.84%E -0.255%K -0.269%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-15 08:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.23%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.91%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-03-14 23:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.23%EV -19.75%E -2.02%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 87.00%EV -9.72%E -9.35%K -243.12%G +0.000% | 24.00I 4.17%NM 3.77%EV +20.20%E +0.842%K +0.878%G +0.177% | 10.5% | 2026-03-15 15:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.21%EV -22.21%E -2.34%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 84.96%EV -10.59%E -10.28%K -353.09%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.83%EV -24.88%E -1.66%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-15 07:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 9.83% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 83.99% | 14.01I 7.14%NM 6.18% | 15.6% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 33.75% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 33.13% | 176.9% | 2026-03-15 13:40 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.48% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.52% | 6.1% | 2026-03-15 15:05 |