Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Welsh Fire v Southern Brave

2026-08-03 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (9 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Welsh Fire (Local)

Previsão 51.84%1.93odd justa
EV -4.10%
Vantagem -2.22%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.07%51.91%51.90%52.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.811.801.8556.50%55.16%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Southern Brave (Visitante)

Previsão 48.16%2.08odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -1.34%
Kelly -2.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.26%48.09%48.10%48.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.911.971.982.0252.36%50.82%50.51%49.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Welsh Fire (Local): 51.84%; Southern Brave (Visitante): 48.16%. Para Southern Brave (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.08. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferece odds acima desse nível: as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.02, com valor esperado de -2.71%; não produzem valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-01 20:19
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:55
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 19:55
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 20:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:19
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 20:20
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 20:20
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 19:54
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 19:55
PlayUp1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:00
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.17%E -3.41%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.71%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-01 22:15
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.17%E -3.41%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-01 19:54
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:44
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:45
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:45
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:45
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:45
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:45
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:45
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:49
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:55
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:54
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 19:54
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:22
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 20:50
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 20:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 20:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 20:19
betano_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-01 20:18
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.25%E -4.66%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-01 19:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%5.3%2026-08-01 20:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 52.59%1.32I 75.76%NM 47.41%59.8%2026-08-01 19:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 52.59%1.32I 75.76%NM 47.41%59.8%2026-08-01 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 52.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 47.79%61.0%2026-08-01 19:45