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Welsh Fire v Southern Brave
Resultado del partido
Welsh Fire (Local)
Predicción 51.84%1.93momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.07%51.91%51.90%52.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.811.801.8556.50%55.16%55.56%54.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Southern Brave (Visitante)
Predicción 48.16%2.08momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -1.34%
Kelly -2.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.26%48.09%48.10%48.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.911.971.982.0252.36%50.82%50.51%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Welsh Fire (Local): 51.84%; Southern Brave (Visitante): 48.16%. Para Southern Brave (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.08. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.02, con un valor esperado de -2.71%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (32 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-01 20:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| Betway | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:19 |
| Neds | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.10%E -2.22%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Coral | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.14%E -2.81%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -4.64%E -2.34%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.17%E -3.41%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -2.71%E -1.34%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-01 22:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -6.17%E -3.41%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| Unibet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| TAB | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:55 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:22 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.84%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-01 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.08%E -3.12%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 20:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -7.05%E -3.65%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 20:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 20:19 |
| betano_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.69%E -3.72%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-01 20:18 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.25%E -4.66%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.01%E -4.19%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 19:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 20:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 52.59% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 47.41% | 59.8% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 52.59% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 47.41% | 59.8% | 2026-08-01 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.19I 84.03%NM 52.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 47.79% | 61.0% | 2026-08-01 19:45 |