Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunrisers Leeds v Welsh Fire

2026-08-09 13:30 UTC — The Hundred

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

54%

46%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sunrisers Leeds (Local)

Prediction 53.89%1.86fair odd

EV -0.310%

Edge -0.168%

Kelly -0.365%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.32%54.30%53.78%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.611.751.731.8562.11%57.13%57.80%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Welsh Fire (Visit)

Prediction 46.11%2.17fair odd

EV +6.06%

Edge +2.64%

Kelly +4.66%

Growth +0.283%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

41.33%45.70%46.22%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.912.062.082.3052.36%48.53%48.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sunrisers Leeds (Local): 53.89%; Welsh Fire (Visit): 46.11%. For Welsh Fire (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.17. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.30, producing a positive expected value of +6.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -12.70%E -7.84%K -20.49%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +6.06%E +2.64%K +4.66%G +0.283%	5.2%	2026-08-07 23:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -10.01%E -5.99%K -14.94%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +1.45%E +0.659%K +1.21%G +0.018%	5.3%	2026-08-07 21:20
DraftKings🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -13.24%E -8.23%K -21.71%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +1.45%E +0.659%K +1.21%G +0.018%	7.6%	2026-08-07 23:00
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-07 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-07 20:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-07 20:40
Sky Bet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-07 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-07 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:40
Grosvenor🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:40
Casumo🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:45
TABtouch🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:45
Unibet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.32%E -4.25%K -10.16%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.16%E -1.51%K -2.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-07 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.16%E -2.93%K -6.79%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.08%E -1.96%K -3.78%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-07 20:39
Neds🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 20:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 20:40
Betway🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.70%E -3.26%K -7.60%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.47%E -2.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-07 21:15
SportsBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -6.39%E -3.15%K -6.20%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-07 20:39
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-07 20:40
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-07 20:39
betfred_uk🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.00%E -1.67%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-07 20:39
Bet Victor🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-07 20:40
betano_uk🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.78%E -3.92%K -9.28%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.77%E -3.89%K -7.77%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-07 20:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-07 20:40
Bet Right🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -4.08%E -2.29%K -5.23%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.69%E -4.39%K -8.87%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-07 21:50
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.310%E -0.168%K -0.365%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 20:40
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -0.310%E -0.168%K -0.365%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-07 20:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -1.93%E -1.06%K -2.35%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -10.08%E -5.17%K -10.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-07 20:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -4.62%E -2.61%K -6.00%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -11.92%E -6.24%K -13.10%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-08-07 20:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%	8.2%	2026-08-07 21:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%	8.7%	2026-08-07 21:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%	8.7%	2026-08-07 21:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%	8.7%	2026-08-07 21:20

Arbitrage (17 combinations) +2.53%NordicBet 1.85 (55.4%) / Pinnacle 2.30 (44.6%)Show all 17 combinations

Sunrisers Leeds (Local)	Welsh Fire (Visit)	Margin
NordicBet🎯 1.85 (55.4%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (44.6%)	+2.53%
Betsson🎯 1.85 (55.4%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (44.6%)	+2.53%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.8%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (44.2%)	+1.60%
Betr (AU)🎯 1.82 (55.8%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (44.2%)	+1.60%
Coral🎯 1.80 (56.1%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.9%)	+0.976%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 1.80 (56.1%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.9%)	+0.976%
888sport🎯 1.80 (56.1%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.9%)	+0.976%
William Hill🎯 1.80 (56.1%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.9%)	+0.976%
betfred_uk🎯 1.80 (56.1%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.9%)	+0.976%
NordicBet🎯 1.85 (54.3%)	BoyleSports🎯 2.20 (45.7%)	+0.494%
NordicBet🎯 1.85 (54.3%)	DraftKings🎯 2.20 (45.7%)	+0.494%
Betsson🎯 1.85 (54.3%)	BoyleSports🎯 2.20 (45.7%)	+0.494%
Betsson🎯 1.85 (54.3%)	DraftKings🎯 2.20 (45.7%)	+0.494%
Bet Right🎯 1.78 (56.4%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.6%)	+0.343%
Neds🎯 1.77 (56.5%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.5%)	+0.025%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.77 (56.5%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.5%)	+0.025%
theScore Bet🎯 1.77 (56.5%)	Pinnacle🎯 2.30 (43.5%)	+0.025%