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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sunrisers Leeds v Welsh Fire

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sunrisers Leeds (主队)

预测 59.19%1.69公平赔率
EV -2.34%
优势 -1.42%
Kelly -3.59%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.69%59.02%59.43%60.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.46%62.11%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Welsh Fire (客队)

预测 40.81%2.45公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -0.857%
Kelly -1.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.24%40.98%40.57%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.302.302.4044.84%43.44%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sunrisers Leeds (主队)：59.19%；Welsh Fire (客队)：40.81%。 对于“Welsh Fire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.45。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.40，期望值为-2.06%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 13:14
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.34%E -1.42%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 13:14
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.93%E -1.79%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 13:15
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 11:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:15
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.11%E -2.54%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.97%EV -8.59%E -3.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-09 09:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.91%E -2.11%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 13:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 11:54
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.18%E -3.63%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 13:15
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.70%E -2.92%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82%EV -8.59%E -3.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 13:19
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.69%E -1.56%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -5.30%E -3.31%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -8.59%E -3.83%K -6.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:25
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:19
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.10%E -1.74%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 13:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -6.48%E -4.10%K -11.17%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -8.99%E -4.03%K -7.31%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 13:20
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 13:10
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:25
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 13:20
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.07%E -4.50%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.25%E -5.33%K -15.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.06%E -0.857%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 13:20
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -9.44%E -6.17%K -17.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.14%E -2.67%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 13:23
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-09 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-09 13:25
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-09 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57%0.3%2026-08-09 13:25
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%2.0%2026-08-09 13:25