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Sunrisers Leeds v Welsh Fire
Resultado del partido
Sunrisers Leeds (Local)
Predicción 54.61%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.948%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%54.97%54.06%57.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8061.73%57.81%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Welsh Fire (Visitante)
Predicción 45.39%2.20momio equitativo
EV +2.13%
Ventaja +0.948%
Kelly +1.71%
Crecimiento +0.036%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.31%45.03%45.94%46.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.092.102.2550.00%47.87%47.62%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Sunrisers Leeds (Local): 54.61%; Welsh Fire (Visitante): 45.39%. Para Welsh Fire (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.20. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.25, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +2.13%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (31 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -9.90%E -6.00%K -15.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.13%E +0.948%K +1.71%G +0.036% | 5.1% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.80%E -5.27%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.137%E -0.062%K -0.115%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 21:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -11.54%E -7.12%K -18.61%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -2.41%E -1.12%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.71%E -0.948%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -1.71%E -0.948%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.07%E -3.53%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.68%E -2.23%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -3.89%E -2.21%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -5.58%E -2.68%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.44%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.44%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-08 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.44%E -2.53%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.95%E -3.39%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.99%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.01%EV -7.85%E -3.87%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.53%E -3.20%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -9.22%E -4.61%K -9.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -3.34%E -1.89%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -13.30%E -6.96%K -14.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-07 20:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 21:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 21:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80% | 8.7% | 2026-08-07 21:20 |