Language:English
England v Pakistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 67.95%1.47fair odd
EV -4.20%
Edge -2.98%
Kelly -10.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.15%68.00%67.66%69.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.4175.76%72.78%72.99%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pakistan (Visit)
Prediction 18.62%5.37fair odd
EV +7.99%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.133%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.41%18.59%18.93%20.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.475.075.005.8022.37%19.71%20.00%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.44%7.44fair odd
EV -0.710%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.111%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 7.39
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.67%13.42%13.42%15.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.897.007.3916.67%14.51%14.29%13.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 67.95%; Pakistan (Visit): 18.62%; Draw: 13.44%. For Pakistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.37. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.99%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV +7.99%E +1.38%K +1.66%G +0.133% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -8.27%E -6.13%K -23.64%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -10.31%E -7.81%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.49%EV -10.31%E -7.81%K -32.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -19.39%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.25%E -0.429%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 09:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.63%E -7.24%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 09:42 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.63%E -7.24%K -29.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-19 09:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-19 09:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-19 09:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.55I 15.27%NM 13.90%EV -12.00%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 09:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.39%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 20.94%EV -16.77%E -3.75%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 7.39I 13.53%NM 12.67%EV -0.710%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16% | 0.3% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-19 09:55 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 09:34 |