Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

England v Pakistan

Inizio: 2026-08-19 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

England (Casa)

Previsione 67.95%1.47quota equa
EV -4.20%
Vantaggio -2.98%
Kelly -10.24%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.15%68.00%67.66%69.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.371.4175.76%72.78%72.99%70.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pakistan (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.62%5.37quota equa
EV +7.99%
Vantaggio +1.38%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescita +0.133%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.41%18.59%18.93%20.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.475.075.005.8022.37%19.71%20.00%17.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 13.44%7.44quota equa
EV -0.710%
Vantaggio -0.096%
Kelly -0.111%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
12.67%13.42%13.42%15.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.897.007.3916.67%14.51%14.29%13.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: England (Casa): 67.95%; Pakistan (Trasferta): 18.62%; Pareggio: 13.44%. Per Pakistan (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.37. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.80, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +7.99%.

1 bookmaker offre un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV +7.99%E +1.38%K +1.66%G +0.133%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 09:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -8.27%E -6.13%K -23.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 09:54
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -10.31%E -7.81%K -32.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.49%EV -10.31%E -7.81%K -32.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -19.39%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 09:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.25%E -0.429%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 09:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:49
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:40
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 09:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.63%E -7.24%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 09:42
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.63%E -7.24%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 09:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 09:40
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 09:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 13.90%EV -12.00%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 09:55
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.39%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.94%EV -16.77%E -3.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.67%EV -0.710%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 09:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16%0.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16%0.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16%0.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-08-19 09:55

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (1)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Margine ▲Aggiornamento
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%5.2%2026-08-19 09:34