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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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England v Pakistan

开赛时间： 2026-08-19 10:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

England (主队)

预测 67.95%1.47公平赔率
EV -4.20%
优势 -2.98%
Kelly -10.24%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.41

博彩公司预测分布
66.15%68.00%67.66%69.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.371.371.4175.76%72.78%72.99%70.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pakistan (客队)

预测 18.62%5.37公平赔率
EV +7.99%
优势 +1.38%
Kelly +1.66%
增长率 +0.133%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.41%18.59%18.93%20.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.475.075.005.8022.37%19.71%20.00%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 13.44%7.44公平赔率
EV -0.710%
优势 -0.096%
Kelly -0.111%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 7.39

博彩公司预测分布
12.67%13.42%13.42%15.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.897.007.3916.67%14.51%14.29%13.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：67.95%；Pakistan (客队)：18.62%；平局：13.44%。 对于“Pakistan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.37。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.80，对应+7.99%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.99%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.41%EV +7.99%E +1.38%K +1.66%G +0.133%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-19 09:54
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.58%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.90%EV +4.26%E +0.762%K +0.927%G +0.040%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.52%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -8.27%E -6.13%K -23.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 09:54
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.30%EV -10.31%E -7.81%K -32.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 68.49%EV -10.31%E -7.81%K -32.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV +2.40%E +0.437%K +0.534%G +0.013%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -19.39%E -3.23%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 09:54
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -2.25%E -0.429%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 09:49
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:49
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:40
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 09:39
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 09:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 09:49
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.63%E -7.24%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 09:42
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.63%E -7.24%K -29.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -6.91%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.67%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-19 09:44
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 09:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-19 09:39
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -8.77%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.62%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-19 09:40
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.54%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -5.95%E -0.850%K -0.992%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-19 09:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.94%EV -7.59%E -5.58%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -11.56%E -2.43%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.55I 15.27%NM 13.90%EV -12.00%E -1.83%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-19 09:55
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 09:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -4.88%E -3.48%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -14.35%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.72%EV -9.31%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 09:49
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.39%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 20.94%EV -16.77%E -3.75%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 12.67%EV -0.710%E -0.096%K -0.111%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 09:55
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16%0.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16%0.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.75%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.16%0.3%2026-08-19 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-08-19 09:55

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%5.2%2026-08-19 09:34