預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Australia v Bangladesh

開賽時間: 2026-08-13 00:31 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

26 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Australia (主隊)

預測 91.20%1.10公平賠率
EV -5.15%
優勢 -4.95%
Kelly -128.78%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.04

博彩公司預測分布
88.03%91.06%91.39%93.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.60%98.04%96.15%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Bangladesh (客隊)

預測 4.56%21.93公平賠率
EV +32.27%
優勢 +1.11%
Kelly +1.15%
成長率 +0.372%

假設最高賠率為 29.00

博彩公司預測分布
3.35%4.60%4.59%5.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
15.0023.6626.0029.006.67%4.23%3.85%3.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 4.24%23.59公平賠率
EV +69.53%
優勢 +1.74%
Kelly +1.78%
成長率 +1.24%

假設最高賠率為 40.00

博彩公司預測分布
2.41%4.35%4.02%5.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
15.0026.0926.0040.006.67%3.83%3.85%2.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Australia (主隊):91.20%;Bangladesh (客隊):4.56%;和局:4.24%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於23.59的公平十進位賠率。 當時有20家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為40.00,對應+69.53%的正期望值。

有 2 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (26 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
NordicBet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.73%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +14.02%E +0.561%K +0.584%G +0.082%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.41%EV +69.53%E +1.74%K +1.78%G +1.24%3.6%2026-08-13 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.51%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -8.78%E -0.439%K -0.462%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV +44.10%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.589%6.0%2026-08-13 00:23
888sport🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328%2.8%2026-08-13 00:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328%2.8%2026-08-13 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328%2.8%2026-08-13 00:29
Paddy Power🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.15%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328%3.2%2026-08-13 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 93.15%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328%3.2%2026-08-13 00:30
DraftKings🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.18%EV +4.90%E +0.213%K +0.223%G +0.011%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +22.91%E +0.790%K +0.818%G +0.187%3.9%2026-08-13 00:30
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%4.8%2026-08-13 00:24
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%5.7%2026-08-12 12:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%5.7%2026-08-12 12:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%5.7%2026-08-12 12:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%5.7%2026-08-12 12:35
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%5.7%2026-08-12 12:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%5.7%2026-08-12 12:35
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%6.7%2026-08-12 12:34
BetRivers🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%6.7%2026-08-12 12:34
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.00%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%7.6%2026-08-13 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.00%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042%7.6%2026-08-13 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +14.02%E +0.561%K +0.584%G +0.082%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +5.96%E +0.238%K +0.248%G +0.015%7.0%2026-08-12 12:34
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 00:30
Betway🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -22.46%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 00:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 89.39%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%18.25I 5.48%NM 5.00%EV -16.76%E -0.919%K -0.972%G +0.000%16.25I 6.15%NM 5.61%EV -31.13%E -1.92%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-13 00:22
betano_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -31.59%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-13 00:29
Bet Victor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -31.59%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-13 00:29
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%1.2%2026-08-13 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%1.2%2026-08-13 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%1.2%2026-08-13 00:30
Matchbook◎1.05I 95.24%NM 93.48%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89%1.9%2026-08-13 00:30

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (2)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%4.9%2026-08-13 00:30
GTbets🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%6.2%2026-08-13 00:29