语言:简体中文
Australia v Bangladesh
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Australia (主队)
预测 91.20%1.10公平赔率
EV -5.15%
优势 -4.95%
Kelly -128.78%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.04
博彩公司预测分布
88.03%91.06%91.39%93.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.60%98.04%96.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bangladesh (客队)
预测 4.56%21.93公平赔率
EV +32.27%
优势 +1.11%
Kelly +1.15%
增长率 +0.372%
假设最高赔率为 29.00
博彩公司预测分布
3.35%4.60%4.59%5.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0023.6626.0029.006.67%4.23%3.85%3.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 4.24%23.59公平赔率
EV +69.53%
优势 +1.74%
Kelly +1.78%
增长率 +1.24%
假设最高赔率为 40.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.41%4.35%4.02%5.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
15.0026.0926.0040.006.67%3.83%3.85%2.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Australia (主队)：91.20%；Bangladesh (客队)：4.56%；平局：4.24%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为23.59。 当时有20家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为40.00，对应+69.53%的正期望值。
有 2 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (26 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.73%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +14.02%E +0.561%K +0.584%G +0.082% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.41%EV +69.53%E +1.74%K +1.78%G +1.24% | 3.6% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.51%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -8.78%E -0.439%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV +44.10%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.589% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 00:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.15%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.15%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.18%EV +4.90%E +0.213%K +0.223%G +0.011% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +22.91%E +0.790%K +0.818%G +0.187% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.00%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.00%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +14.02%E +0.561%K +0.584%G +0.082% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +5.96%E +0.238%K +0.248%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -22.46%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.39%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 5.00%EV -16.76%E -0.919%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.61%EV -31.13%E -1.92%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 00:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -31.59%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -31.59%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.48% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (2)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |