Lingua:Italiano
Australia v Bangladesh
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Australia (Casa)
Previsione 91.20%1.10quota equa
EV -5.15%
Vantaggio -4.95%
Kelly -128.78%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.04
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
88.03%91.06%91.39%93.73%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.011.021.021.0499.01%97.60%98.04%96.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Bangladesh (Trasferta)
Previsione 4.56%21.93quota equa
EV +32.27%
Vantaggio +1.11%
Kelly +1.15%
Crescita +0.372%
ipotizzando la quota massima 29.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
3.35%4.60%4.59%5.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
15.0023.6626.0029.006.67%4.23%3.85%3.45%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Pareggio
Previsione 4.24%23.59quota equa
EV +69.53%
Vantaggio +1.74%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescita +1.24%
ipotizzando la quota massima 40.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
2.41%4.35%4.02%5.99%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
15.0026.0926.0040.006.67%3.83%3.85%2.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Australia (Casa): 91.20%; Bangladesh (Trasferta): 4.56%; Pareggio: 4.24%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 23.59. 20 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 40.00, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +69.53%.
2 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (26 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.73%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +14.02%E +0.561%K +0.584%G +0.082% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.41%EV +69.53%E +1.74%K +1.78%G +1.24% | 3.6% | 2026-08-13 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.51%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -8.78%E -0.439%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.78%EV +44.10%E +1.30%K +1.34%G +0.589% | 6.0% | 2026-08-13 00:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.35%EV +32.27%E +1.11%K +1.15%G +0.372% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.14%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 2.8% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.15%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.15%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.73%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 31.00I 3.23%NM 3.13%EV +31.39%E +1.01%K +1.05%G +0.328% | 3.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.50%EV -5.15%E -4.95%K -128.78%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.18%EV +4.90%E +0.213%K +0.223%G +0.011% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.32%EV +22.91%E +0.790%K +0.818%G +0.187% | 3.9% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.67%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 4.8% | 2026-08-13 00:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 5.7% | 2026-08-12 12:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +18.58%E +0.715%K +0.743%G +0.138% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 6.7% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.00%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.00%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV +10.20%E +0.392%K +0.408%G +0.042% | 7.6% | 2026-08-13 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -7.89%E -7.81%K -788.72%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +14.02%E +0.561%K +0.584%G +0.082% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.74%EV +5.96%E +0.238%K +0.248%G +0.015% | 7.0% | 2026-08-12 12:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -4.22%E -0.201%K -0.211%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.12%EV -6.06%E -5.89%K -202.10%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.46%EV -22.46%E -1.32%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.42%EV -11.00%E -0.524%K -0.550%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.39%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 18.25I 5.48%NM 5.00%EV -16.76%E -0.919%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 16.25I 6.15%NM 5.61%EV -31.13%E -1.92%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-13 00:22 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -31.59%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -6.98%E -6.84%K -348.76%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -31.59%E -2.11%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 5.99%EV -36.43%E -2.43%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.11% | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.29% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.2% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 93.48% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.89% | 1.9% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (2)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61% | 4.9% | 2026-08-13 00:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 00:29 |