Language:English
West Indies v South Africa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Indies (Local)
Prediction 31.69%3.16fair odd
EV +2.98%
Edge +0.917%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.039%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.04%31.69%31.65%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.013.2535.71%32.84%33.22%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
South Africa (Visit)
Prediction 68.31%1.46fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -7.13%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.31%68.35%70.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.371.371.4275.76%72.93%72.99%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 31.69%; South Africa (Visit): 68.31%. For West Indies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.98%.
3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.98%E +0.917%K +1.32%G +0.039% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 09:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.09%E -5.22%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.04%E -0.993%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -5.04%E -3.63%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 05:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.31%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.83%E -7.44%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.83%E -7.44%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -7.16%E -2.44%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.46%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 09:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.99%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.09%E -5.22%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 09:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |