La scuola delle quoteItaliano
West Indies v South Africa
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
West Indies (Casa)
Previsione 31.69%3.16quota equa
EV +2.98%
Vantaggio +0.917%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescita +0.039%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.04%31.69%31.65%33.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.013.2535.71%32.84%33.22%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
South Africa (Trasferta)
Previsione 68.31%1.46quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -2.11%
Kelly -7.13%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.35%68.31%68.35%70.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.321.371.371.4275.76%72.93%72.99%70.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
3 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.98%E +0.917%K +1.32%G +0.039% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 09:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Grosvenor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Casumo | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Unibet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| PlayUp | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.09%E -5.22%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.04%E -0.993%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -5.04%E -3.63%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 05:39 |
| SportsBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.31%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| FanDuel | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| GTbets | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| NordicBet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.83%E -7.44%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.83%E -7.44%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -7.16%E -2.44%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.46%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 09:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:05 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.99%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betway | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.09%E -5.22%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 09:19 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (3)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |