语言:简体中文
West Indies v South Africa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
West Indies (主队)
预测 31.69%3.16公平赔率
EV +2.98%
优势 +0.917%
Kelly +1.32%
增长率 +0.039%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.04%31.69%31.65%33.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.043.013.2535.71%32.84%33.22%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
South Africa (客队)
预测 68.31%1.46公平赔率
EV -2.99%
优势 -2.11%
Kelly -7.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.42
博彩公司预测分布
66.35%68.31%68.35%70.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.371.371.4275.76%72.93%72.99%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：West Indies (主队)：31.69%；South Africa (客队)：68.31%。 对于“West Indies (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.16。 当时有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+2.98%的正期望值。
有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV +2.98%E +0.917%K +1.32%G +0.039% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 09:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV +1.40%E +0.436%K +0.635%G +0.009% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 09:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.09%E -5.22%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.77%E -0.572%K -0.844%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.04%E -0.993%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -5.04%E -3.63%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 05:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -4.31%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.94%E -1.65%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -5.57%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.83%E -7.44%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -6.53%E -2.21%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -9.83%E -7.44%K -30.71%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -7.16%E -2.44%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.46%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-26 09:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.11%E -2.80%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.36%E -3.11%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.99%E -2.11%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.28%E -4.03%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.09%E -5.22%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-26 09:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 09:19 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 09:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 09:24 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.76% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.07% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.18% | 12.1% | 2026-02-26 09:15 |