Language:English
India v New Zealand
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
India (Local)
Prediction 69.09%1.45fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -8.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%68.76%69.09%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4075.76%72.55%72.46%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Zealand (Visit)
Prediction 30.91%3.24fair odd
EV +0.443%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.197%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.24%30.91%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.763.023.003.2536.23%33.15%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 69.09%; New Zealand (Visit): 30.91%. For New Zealand (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.443%.
3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.443%E +0.136%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -6.72%E -4.98%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -2.96%E -0.942%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -5.12%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 12:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -14.70%E -5.33%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |