La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.40
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25
3 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.443%E +0.136%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -6.72%E -4.98%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -2.96%E -0.942%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:13 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Betway | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -5.12%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:24 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Neds | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 13:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Betsson | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 12:45 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -14.70%E -5.33%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |