语言:简体中文
India v New Zealand
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
India (主队)
预测 69.09%1.45公平赔率
EV -3.27%
优势 -2.33%
Kelly -8.17%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
66.51%68.76%69.09%70.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.381.381.4075.76%72.55%72.46%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
New Zealand (客队)
预测 30.91%3.24公平赔率
EV +0.443%
优势 +0.136%
Kelly +0.197%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.50%31.24%30.91%33.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.763.023.003.2536.23%33.15%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：India (主队)：69.09%；New Zealand (客队)：30.91%。 对于“New Zealand (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.25，对应+0.443%的正期望值。
有 3 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +0.443%E +0.136%K +0.197%G +0.001% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -6.72%E -4.98%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -2.96%E -0.942%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:13 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.83%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.17%EV -5.12%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.34%E -3.90%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.03%E -4.43%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -8.80%E -6.66%K -27.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-08 13:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 12:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.27%E -2.33%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 06:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.51%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.49%EV -14.70%E -5.33%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 13:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-08 13:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 13:24 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (3)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.23% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.94% | 11.8% | 2026-03-08 13:14 |