The School of Odds

Surrey v Essex

2026-07-12 17:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Surrey (Local)

Prediction 62.60%1.60fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -3.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.95%62.71%62.61%65.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.451.5769%67%69%64%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Essex (Visit)

Prediction 37.40%2.67fair odd
EV +2.86%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.047%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%37.29%37.39%40.05%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.352.592.702.7543%39%37%36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.23%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.3%2026-07-10 23:04
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.23%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.3%2026-07-10 23:05
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.23%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.3%2026-07-10 23:04
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-10 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-10 23:05
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-10 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-10 23:05
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-10 23:05
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-10 23:05
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-11 00:34
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-11 00:34
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.86%E +1.04%K +1.63%G +0.047%5.8%2026-07-11 01:25
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.36%E -4.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +0.989%E +0.366%K +0.582%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-11 00:34
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.36%E -4.97%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +0.989%E +0.366%K +0.582%G +0.006%4.6%2026-07-11 00:34
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.23%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +0.989%E +0.366%K +0.582%G +0.006%6.0%2026-07-11 00:38
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.23%E -6.37%K -20.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 00:35
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -9.86%E -6.85%K -22.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -2.75%E -1.06%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 23:10
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -6.49%E -2.60%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 21:10
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -3.60%E -2.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -9.11%E -3.75%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 21:10
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:10
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-10 21:45
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.98%E -4.61%K -7.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-10 21:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:10
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.72%E -1.10%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:10
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.98%E -1.92%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 21:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -4.23%E -2.76%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -12.10%E -5.15%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-07-10 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.73%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%8.0%2026-07-10 22:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 55.81%1.92I 52.08%NM 44.19%17.9%2026-07-10 23:05