La scuola delle quote

Surrey v Essex

Inizio: 2026-07-12 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Surrey (Casa)

Previsione 59.86%1.67quota equa
EV -4.23%
Vantaggio -2.64%
Kelly -7.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.90%60.66%59.77%65.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.561.571.6069.44%64.10%63.69%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Essex (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.14%2.49quota equa
EV +10.40%
Vantaggio +3.78%
Kelly +5.94%
Crescita +0.617%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.37%39.34%40.23%41.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.372.352.7544.44%42.22%42.55%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -13.81%E -9.59%K -31.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +10.40%E +3.78%K +5.94%G +0.617%5.8%2026-07-11 01:25
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -13.81%E -9.59%K -31.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +5.18%E +1.98%K +3.20%G +0.165%7.6%2026-07-12 17:04
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV +0.761%E +0.303%K +0.504%G +0.004%7.4%2026-07-12 17:19
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:24
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:24
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:24
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 17:24
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.86%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:24
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.86%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.86%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 17:24
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 17:24
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.43%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 17:22
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:19
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:19
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 17:20
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:19
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:19
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:19
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:19
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 17:19
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:24
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 17:24
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -8.07%E -3.52%K -6.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 17:25
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:25
betano_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 17:22
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-07-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65%0.2%2026-07-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%0.4%2026-07-12 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-12 17:25
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-12 17:25