L’École des cotesSurrey v Essex
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Surrey (Local)
Prévision 59.86%1.67cote équitable
EV -4.23%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -7.05%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%60.66%59.77%65.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.561.571.6069.44%64.10%63.69%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Essex (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.14%2.49cote équitable
EV +10.40%
Avantage +3.78%
Kelly +5.94%
Croissance +0.617%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%39.34%40.23%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.352.7544.44%42.22%42.55%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -13.81%E -9.59%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +10.40%E +3.78%K +5.94%G +0.617% | 5.8% | 2026-07-11 01:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -13.81%E -9.59%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +5.18%E +1.98%K +3.20%G +0.165% | 7.6% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.91%EV -11.41%E -7.71%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.09%EV +0.761%E +0.303%K +0.504%G +0.004% | 7.4% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.46%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.86%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.86%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -4.86%E -2.05%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.43%E -3.43%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:22 |
| Unibet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 17:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.62%E -4.25%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.23%E -2.64%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Betway | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.67%E -3.33%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.22%E -4.66%K -13.13%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -8.07%E -3.52%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| betano_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.03%E -3.84%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.68%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 17:22 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20% | 0.1% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.35% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.65% | 0.2% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06% | 0.4% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |