The School of Odds

Nottinghamshire v Surrey

2026-07-15 15:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Nottinghamshire (Local)

Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV -2.76%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%46.45%46.38%47.37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.002.032.002.1050%49%50%48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Surrey (Visit)

Prediction 53.70%1.86fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%53.55%53.62%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.771.781.8058%57%56%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-13 07:09
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-13 07:13
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 07:08
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 07:08
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.76%E -1.32%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.10%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-13 07:09
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.69%E -1.77%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-13 07:09
Betsson2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 01:49
NordicBet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-13 01:49
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 07:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 07:09
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.08%E -2.48%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 07:09
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -6.47%E -3.20%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.64%E -4.44%K -10.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-13 07:09
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 01:49
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 01:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.35%E -1.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 01:49
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -4.42%E -2.48%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-13 06:44
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.03%E -3.45%K -8.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 01:49
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.10%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 07:08
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.39%E -3.70%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.10%E -4.11%K -9.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 07:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.83%6.2%2026-07-13 07:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 46.83%1.33I 75.19%NM 53.17%41.4%2026-07-13 04:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 46.83%1.33I 75.19%NM 53.17%41.4%2026-07-13 05:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 46.83%1.33I 75.19%NM 53.17%41.4%2026-07-13 05:20