Nottinghamshire v Surrey

Inizio: 2026-07-15 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

45%

55%

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nottinghamshire (Casa)

Previsione 44.70%2.24quota equa

EV +0.583%

Vantaggio +0.259%

Kelly +0.466%

Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

41.41%44.60%44.74%47.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

2.002.092.102.2550.00%47.80%47.62%44.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Surrey (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.30%1.81quota equa

EV -0.466%

Vantaggio -0.259%

Kelly -0.583%

Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker

52.63%55.40%55.26%58.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Distribuzione delle quote

1.591.721.731.8062.89%58.28%57.80%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

Bookmaker	Casa ▼	Trasferta	Margine	Aggiornamento
Pinnacle	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV +0.583%E +0.259%K +0.466%G +0.003%	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -12.08%E -7.60%K -20.47%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-15 15:25
Betsson	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-15 15:24
NordicBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-15 15:25
888sport	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-15 15:25
Betway	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-15 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-15 15:19
Coral	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-15 15:19
betfred_uk	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-15 15:04
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-15 15:19
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-15 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-15 15:19
SportsBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-15 15:19
Neds	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-15 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-15 15:19
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-15 15:18
TAB	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-15 15:23
LiveScore Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
Virgin Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
Casumo	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
Unibet (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
Grosvenor	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
Unibet	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
TABtouch	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
ATG (SE)	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-07-15 14:35
Bet Victor	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.43%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-15 15:23
betano_uk	2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.43%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-15 15:20
Marathon Bet	2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -9.25%E -4.56%K -8.98%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-15 15:25
William Hill	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.59%E -5.30%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.466%E -0.259%K -0.583%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-13 01:49
BoyleSports	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.59%E -5.30%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-15 15:14

Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

Bookmaker	Casa	Trasferta	Margine ▲	Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-07-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-07-15 15:25
Matchbook	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%	1.3%	2026-07-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%	1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%	1.6%	2026-07-15 15:25
Smarkets	2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%	3.2%	2026-07-15 15:25