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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Nottinghamshire v Surrey

开赛时间： 2026-07-15 15:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Nottinghamshire (主队)

预测 44.70%2.24公平赔率
EV +0.583%
优势 +0.259%
Kelly +0.466%
增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 2.25

博彩公司预测分布
41.41%44.60%44.74%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.092.102.2550.00%47.80%47.62%44.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Surrey (客队)

预测 55.30%1.81公平赔率
EV -0.466%
优势 -0.259%
Kelly -0.583%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%55.40%55.26%58.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.591.721.731.8062.89%58.28%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nottinghamshire (主队)：44.70%；Surrey (客队)：55.30%。 对于“Nottinghamshire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.25，对应+0.583%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV +0.583%E +0.259%K +0.466%G +0.003%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -12.08%E -7.60%K -20.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:24
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.89%E -1.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-15 15:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:04
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-15 15:19
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:19
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.89%E -2.84%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-15 15:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:18
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.12%E -2.92%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-15 15:23
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.02%E -3.37%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.78%E -2.17%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-15 14:35
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-15 15:23
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.36%E -4.08%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.65%E -4.58%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-15 15:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -9.25%E -4.56%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -6.00%E -3.53%K -8.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-15 15:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.59%E -5.30%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.466%E -0.259%K -0.583%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-13 01:49
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -10.59%E -5.30%K -10.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -4.34%E -2.51%K -5.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-15 15:14
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-07-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-07-15 15:25
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%1.3%2026-07-15 15:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-07-15 15:25
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%3.2%2026-07-15 15:25