The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kent v Middlesex

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kent (Local)

Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -0.655%
Edge -0.392%
Kelly -0.978%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.38%59.06%60.25%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.571.571.6765.36%63.58%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Middlesex (Visit)

Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.512%
Kelly +0.854%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.94%39.75%43.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.352.332.5047.17%42.62%42.83%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%3.7%2026-07-12 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%3.7%2026-07-12 13:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:05
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:04
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:09
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:14
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:15
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:14
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.655%E -0.392%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.87%E -4.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -0.655%E -0.392%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -12.49%E -5.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 07:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.85%E -1.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.90%E -6.00%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:14
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -2.44%E -1.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -14.11%E -6.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-07-12 13:24