默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kent v Middlesex

开赛时间: 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kent (主队)

预测 59.49%1.68公平赔率
EV -0.655%
优势 -0.392%
Kelly -0.978%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.38%59.06%60.25%62.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.571.571.6765.36%63.58%63.69%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

Middlesex (客队)

预测 40.51%2.47公平赔率
EV +1.28%
优势 +0.512%
Kelly +0.854%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.97%40.94%39.75%43.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.122.352.332.5047.17%42.62%42.83%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Kent (主队):59.49%;Middlesex (客队):40.51%。 对于“Middlesex (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.50,对应+1.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%3.7%2026-07-12 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%3.7%2026-07-12 13:14
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:05
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:04
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:09
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:09
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:14
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:20
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:15
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:14
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:14
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.655%E -0.392%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.87%E -4.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -0.655%E -0.392%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -12.49%E -5.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 07:10
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.85%E -1.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.90%E -6.00%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -2.44%E -1.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -14.11%E -6.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 12:34
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-07-12 13:24