L’École des cotes

Kent v Middlesex

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kent (Local)

Prévision 59.49%1.68cote équitable
EV -0.655%
Avantage -0.392%
Kelly -0.978%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.38%59.06%60.25%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.571.571.6765.36%63.58%63.69%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Middlesex (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.51%2.47cote équitable
EV +1.28%
Avantage +0.512%
Kelly +0.854%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%40.94%39.75%43.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.352.332.5047.17%42.62%42.83%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%3.7%2026-07-12 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%3.7%2026-07-12 13:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:05
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.854%G +0.011%5.4%2026-07-12 13:04
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.46%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.54%EV -1.15%E -0.471%K -0.799%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:09
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:09
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 13:10
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:14
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:20
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:19
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 13:15
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:14
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 13:14
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -0.655%E -0.392%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -10.87%E -4.94%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -0.655%E -0.392%K -0.978%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -12.49%E -5.78%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 07:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -1.85%E -1.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.90%E -6.00%K -11.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:14
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -2.44%E -1.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -14.11%E -6.66%K -12.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-12 12:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%0.6%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 59.75%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.25%2.7%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%2.7%2026-07-12 13:24