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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Birmingham Bears v Sussex

開賽時間： 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Birmingham Bears (主隊)

預測 55.39%1.81公平賠率
EV -4.17%
優勢 -2.41%
Kelly -5.71%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.73

博彩公司預測分布
54.64%55.40%55.70%56.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.651.681.671.7360.61%59.41%59.88%57.80%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sussex (客隊)

預測 44.61%2.24公平賠率
EV -1.87%
優勢 -0.848%
Kelly -1.55%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.20

博彩公司預測分布
43.15%44.60%44.30%45.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.042.142.152.2049.02%46.75%46.51%45.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Birmingham Bears (主隊)：55.39%；Sussex (客隊)：44.61%。 對於「Sussex (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.24的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率：最佳賠率為2.20，期望值為-1.87%，未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:09
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.11%E -3.94%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 17:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 23:09
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:09
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:09
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 17:50
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%6.0%2026-07-01 17:50