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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Birmingham Bears v Sussex

开赛时间： 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Birmingham Bears (主队)

预测 55.39%1.81公平赔率
EV -4.17%
优势 -2.41%
Kelly -5.71%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.73

博彩公司预测分布
54.64%55.40%55.70%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.651.681.671.7360.61%59.41%59.88%57.80%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sussex (客队)

预测 44.61%2.24公平赔率
EV -1.87%
优势 -0.848%
Kelly -1.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%44.60%44.30%45.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.042.142.152.2049.02%46.75%46.51%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Birmingham Bears (主队)：55.39%；Sussex (客队)：44.61%。 对于“Sussex (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.24。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.20，期望值为-1.87%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:10
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:09
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:39
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.11%E -3.94%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 17:40
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 23:09
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:09
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:09
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 17:39
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 17:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%6.0%2026-07-01 17:50