La scuola delle quote

Birmingham Bears v Sussex

Inizio: 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Birmingham Bears (Casa)

Previsione 55.39%1.81quota equa
EV -4.17%
Vantaggio -2.41%
Kelly -5.71%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.64%55.40%55.70%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.651.681.671.7360.61%59.41%59.88%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sussex (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.61%2.24quota equa
EV -1.87%
Vantaggio -0.848%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%44.60%44.30%45.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.042.142.152.2049.02%46.75%46.51%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:10
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.17%E -2.41%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 23:39
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -5.28%E -3.09%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -8.11%E -3.94%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-01 17:40
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 23:09
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.83%E -3.43%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -4.99%E -2.34%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -6.39%E -3.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -9.00%E -4.41%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-28 05:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 07:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.87%E -0.848%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:10
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.10%E -1.90%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 07:09
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.49%E -4.49%K -11.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-01 17:39
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -8.05%E -4.85%K -12.19%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.60%E -5.21%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.33%E -3.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%6.0%2026-07-01 17:50