The School of Odds

Birmingham Bears v Gloucestershire

2026-07-05 14:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Birmingham Bears (Local)

Odds
1.6560.61%Min
1.6959.05%Mean
1.7058.82%Median
1.7856.18%Max
Consensus probabilities
52.53%1.904Min
57.14%1.750Max
55.13%1.814Mean
55.64%1.797Median
55.32%1.808IQM
55.22%1.811Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.78 under the IQM model: 55.32%

EV -1.53%Edge -0.857%Kelly -1.96%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Gloucestershire (Visit)

Odds
1.9750.76%Min
2.1247.14%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.2045.45%Max
Consensus probabilities
42.86%2.333Min
47.47%2.107Max
44.87%2.229Mean
44.36%2.254Median
44.68%2.238IQM
44.78%2.233Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.20 under the IQM model: 44.68%

EV -1.71%Edge -0.777%Kelly -1.43%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerBirmingham Bears (Local) ▼Gloucestershire (Visit)MarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18% NM 52.53%EV -1.53% E -0.857% K -1.96% G +0.000%1.97I 50.76% NM 47.47%EV -11.99% E -6.08% K -12.36% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 21:05
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.29% E -2.48% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 14:09
William Hill1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.29% E -2.48% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 04:00
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -4.29% E -2.48% K -5.88% G +0.000%2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -10.65% E -5.32% K -10.65% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48% NM 55.00%EV -5.40% E -3.16% K -7.60% G +0.000%2.09I 47.85% NM 45.00%EV -6.62% E -3.17% K -6.08% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:09
Betsson1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.94% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
NordicBet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.94% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:10
Unibet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:09
TABtouch1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Casumo1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:09
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:09
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:10
TAB1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:14
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82% NM 54.42%EV -5.95% E -3.50% K -8.50% G +0.000%2.03I 49.26% NM 45.58%EV -9.31% E -4.58% K -9.03% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 09:35
Unibet (UK)1.69I 59.17% NM 55.64%EV -6.50% E -3.85% K -9.43% G +0.000%2.12I 47.17% NM 44.36%EV -5.28% E -2.49% K -4.72% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 14:00
888sport1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Coral1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
Neds1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -3.94% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -3.94% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:15
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88% NM 55.70%EV -7.61% E -4.56% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 44.30%EV -6.18% E -2.94% K -5.62% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 14:09
SportsBet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -8.72% E -5.28% K -13.41% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -1.71% E -0.777% K -1.43% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Betway1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -8.72% E -5.28% K -13.41% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -3.94% E -1.83% K -3.43% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerBirmingham Bears (Local)Gloucestershire (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%2.40I 41.67%0.5%2026-07-05 14:15
Matchbook1.69I 59.17%2.40I 41.67%0.8%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%2.40I 41.67%1.2%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%2.40I 41.67%1.2%2026-07-05 14:15
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%2.36I 42.37%2.3%2026-07-05 14:15