The School of OddsBirmingham Bears v Gloucestershire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. See how the models score across every settled game →
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Head to Head
Birmingham Bears (Local)
Prediction 59.93%1.67fair odd
EV +6.68%
Edge +3.75%
Kelly +8.57%
Growth +0.573%
assuming max odds 1.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.53%58.96%60.69%62.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.521.611.551.7866%62%65%56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Gloucestershire (Visit)
Prediction 40.07%2.50fair odd
EV +0.163%
Edge +0.065%
Kelly +0.109%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.91%41.04%39.31%47.47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.972.302.382.5051%43%42%40%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +6.68%E +3.75%K +8.57%G +0.573% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -21.07%E -10.70%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +3.69%E +2.13%K +5.05%G +0.186% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 04:00 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV +1.29%E +0.763%K +1.87%G +0.024% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -15.06%E -7.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -13.46%E -6.23%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 14:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -0.238%E -0.095%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |