La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Birmingham Bears v Gloucestershire
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Birmingham Bears (Local)
Predicción 59.93%1.67momio equitativo
EV +6.68%
Ventaja +3.75%
Kelly +8.57%
Crecimiento +0.573%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.53%58.96%60.69%62.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.611.551.7865.79%62.16%64.52%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Gloucestershire (Visitante)
Predicción 40.07%2.50momio equitativo
EV +0.163%
Ventaja +0.065%
Kelly +0.109%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.91%41.04%39.31%47.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.302.382.5050.76%43.44%41.93%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (30 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +6.68%E +3.75%K +8.57%G +0.573% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -21.07%E -10.70%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +3.69%E +2.13%K +5.05%G +0.186% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 04:00 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV +1.29%E +0.763%K +1.87%G +0.024% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -15.06%E -7.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -13.46%E -6.23%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 14:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -0.238%E -0.095%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |