L’École des cotesBirmingham Bears v Gloucestershire
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Birmingham Bears (Local)
Prévision 59.93%1.67cote équitable
EV +6.68%
Avantage +3.75%
Kelly +8.57%
Croissance +0.573%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.53%58.96%60.69%62.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.611.551.7865.79%62.16%64.52%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Gloucestershire (Visiteur)
Prévision 40.07%2.50cote équitable
EV +0.163%
Avantage +0.065%
Kelly +0.109%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.91%41.04%39.31%47.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.302.382.5050.76%43.44%41.93%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +6.68%E +3.75%K +8.57%G +0.573% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -21.07%E -10.70%K -21.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +3.69%E +2.13%K +5.05%G +0.186% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 04:00 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV +1.89%E +1.11%K +2.70%G +0.051% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -15.86%E -7.55%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.64%EV +1.29%E +0.763%K +1.87%G +0.024% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.36%EV -15.06%E -7.10%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.29%EV -3.51%E -2.18%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.71%EV -13.46%E -6.23%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -6.50%E -4.17%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -4.24%E -1.78%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -1.84%E -0.751%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.10%E -4.58%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.85%E -2.49%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +0.163%E +0.065%K +0.109%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -3.84%E -1.60%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.30%E -5.42%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.64%E -1.95%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 14:23 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -8.90%E -5.85%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -0.238%E -0.095%K -0.159%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56% | 0.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |