Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ireland v Afghanistan

2026-08-10 09:45 UTC — One Day Internationals

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ireland (Local)

Prediction 38.93%2.57fair odd
EV -2.67%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%38.93%38.93%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.432.402.5041.67%41.11%41.67%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Afghanistan (Visit)

Prediction 61.07%1.64fair odd
EV -5.34%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -9.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%61.07%61.07%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.541.551.5565.79%64.86%64.52%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ireland (Local): 38.93%; Afghanistan (Visit): 61.07%. For Ireland (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -2.67%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.67%E -1.07%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 18:43
SportsBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -3.45%E -1.39%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -7.18%E -4.72%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:40
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.34%E -3.45%K -9.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 18:05
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:40
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.56%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.56%E -4.29%K -12.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 18:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 50.00%1.18I 84.75%NM 50.00%69.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 50.00%1.18I 84.75%NM 50.00%69.5%2026-08-07 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 50.00%1.18I 84.75%NM 50.00%69.5%2026-08-07 18:25