语言:简体中文
Ireland v Afghanistan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ireland (主队)
预测 33.90%2.95公平赔率
EV +3.41%
优势 +1.12%
Kelly +1.66%
增长率 +0.057%
假设最高赔率为 3.05
博彩公司预测分布
31.15%33.87%34.27%37.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.892.973.0540.00%34.57%33.67%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
Afghanistan (客队)
预测 66.10%1.51公平赔率
EV +1.13%
优势 +0.736%
Kelly +2.12%
增长率 +0.024%
假设最高赔率为 1.53
博彩公司预测分布
62.03%66.13%65.73%68.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.411.391.5373.53%71.10%71.94%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ireland (主队)：33.90%；Afghanistan (客队)：66.10%。 对于“Ireland (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.95。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.05，对应+3.41%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.13%E -5.85%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 09:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -0.319%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -8.13%E -5.85%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.68%E -0.578%K -0.882%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-10 09:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.35%E -0.817%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.69%E -0.938%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.69%E -0.938%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.07%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.50%E -2.40%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.07%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.07%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.09%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-10 09:38 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.46%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 09:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -11.85%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -1.52%E -1.02%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -12.53%E -4.85%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -2.18%E -1.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -13.54%E -5.31%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 09:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -15.24%E -6.10%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.13%E +0.736%K +2.12%G +0.024% | 5.4% | 2026-08-08 00:10 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |