預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ireland v Afghanistan

開賽時間: 2026-08-10 09:45 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ireland (主隊)

預測 33.90%2.95公平賠率
EV +3.41%
優勢 +1.12%
Kelly +1.66%
成長率 +0.057%

假設最高賠率為 3.05

博彩公司預測分布
31.15%33.87%34.27%37.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.502.892.973.0540.00%34.57%33.67%32.79%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Afghanistan (客隊)

預測 66.10%1.51公平賠率
EV +1.13%
優勢 +0.736%
Kelly +2.12%
成長率 +0.024%

假設最高賠率為 1.53

博彩公司預測分布
62.03%66.13%65.73%68.85%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.411.391.5373.53%71.10%71.94%65.36%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Ireland (主隊):33.90%;Afghanistan (客隊):66.10%。 對於「Ireland (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.95的公平十進位賠率。 當時有14家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.05,對應+3.41%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
TABtouch🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +3.41%E +1.12%K +1.66%G +0.057%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-10 09:40
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -8.13%E -5.85%K -20.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -8.79%E -6.37%K -23.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 09:40
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 09:39
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.71%E +0.572%K +0.857%G +0.015%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 09:40
SportsBet🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%EV -0.319%E -0.109%K -0.165%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%EV -8.13%E -5.85%K -20.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 09:40
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.68%E -0.578%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 09:38
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.35%E -0.817%K -1.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.69%E -0.938%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -2.69%E -0.938%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -7.47%E -5.33%K -18.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.07%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.50%E -2.40%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 09:40
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.07%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.07%E -1.81%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.15%E -4.33%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:40
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -6.76%E -2.46%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -10.11%E -7.43%K -28.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-10 09:38
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.46%E -3.13%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-10 09:35
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -11.85%E -4.56%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -1.52%E -1.02%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-10 09:40
GTbets🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.45%EV -12.53%E -4.85%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.55%EV -2.18%E -1.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -13.54%E -5.31%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -4.16%E -2.87%K -9.25%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-10 09:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -15.24%E -6.10%K -10.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV +1.13%E +0.736%K +2.12%G +0.024%5.4%2026-08-08 00:10
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-08-10 09:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-08-10 09:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%0.2%2026-08-10 09:40